Strategic Thinking and Decision-Making in Complex Contexts

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day 1
Philosophical Foundations of Strategic Thinking
  • Evolution of strategic thought through ages
    • From military planning to modern organizational strategy
    • Fundamental difference between strategic thinking and operational planning
  • Mental frameworks for strategists
    • Bottom-up vs. top-down logic models in thinking
    • Balancing intuitive and quantitative analysis in decision-making
day 2
Analyzing Complex Systems and Scenario Mapping
  • Analysis of dynamic systems in complex environments
    • Systems theory and its applications in understanding non-linear interconnections
    • Analyzing turning points and critical points in systems
  • Building multiple future scenarios
    • Strategic forecasting methodologies and alternative scenario building
    • Techniques for dealing with uncertain future (VUCA World)
day 3
Advanced Models for Strategic Decision-Making
  • Decision-making under uncertainty and risk
    • Probability theory and its applications in strategic decisions
    • Decision tree analysis for complex multi-path choices
  • Avoiding cognitive biases in fateful decisions
    • Advanced analysis of systematic biases in strategic thinking
    • Designing protection systems against bias influence on decisions
day 4
Strategic Innovation and Growth Options
  • Innovation models in competitive strategy
    • Disruptive innovation theory and blue ocean strategies
    • Analysis of long-term strategic growth drivers
  • Managing strategic portfolios and resource allocation
    • Advanced BCG Matrix methodologies in business portfolio management
    • Balancing investments between short and long-term initiatives
day 5
Strategy Implementation and Performance Monitoring
  • Translating strategy into practical reality
    • Advanced Balanced Scorecard for strategic performance measurement
    • Designing monitoring and strategic review systems
  • Leading strategic change and continuous adaptation
    • Managing organizational resistance to strategic change
    • Building learning organizations capable of strategic adaptation